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Chance

Key terms
What chance is
Chance and the order of things
Fortune

Coincidence of causes

Is chance the absence of a cause, or the meeting of causes that were not meant to meet? A coincidence is an event that results from separate lines of cause crossing without anyone planning it. These readings ask how an event can be unplanned for the people involved and still have causes.

3 readings

Book II, chapter 5, of Aristotle’s Physics begins his treatment of “chance” (tyche) and “spontaneity” among the causes. He sets what happens “always” and “for the most part” beside a “third class of events”, those said to be “by chance”. The passage is the starting point for his definition of chance as an incidental cause.

In Book V of the Consolation of Philosophy, Boethius has Lady Philosophy answer his question what “chance” is. She defines it, with the example of the digger who finds “buried gold”, as an event with “proper causes” whose concurrence is unforeseen. The Consolation was written in prison in AD 524 and was widely read in the Middle Ages, and the definition is read here as the classical one.

The First Part, question 116, article 1, of Aquinas’s Summa Theologica asks whether there is such a thing as fate. In the body of the article he says that some things “seem to happen by luck or chance” and describes them as relative to “inferior causes” and to a “higher cause”. The question completes the treatise on the government of creatures, and it is read here for that definition.